The two nuclear powers, India and Pakistan close to war. The cause of tensions between neighboring countries is the Kashmir region in the Himalayan mountains. One part of the disputed territory is India, On the other – Pakistan, China controls a small portion of the. Each of them claims full governance of the region, However,, to no avail. For this reason, India and Pakistan have waged three wars in recent decades – 1947, 1965 and 1999 years. worse, that both countries have nuclear weapons: India – 1974, Pakistan will – 1998 Since. the rest of the world is watching with concern the current developments and the conflict escalates into a full-scale war in the risk of losses.
When and why the renewed conflict?
armed conflict between India and Pakistan 26 Updated February. Kashmir region of Pakistan-controlled part of the Indian air force attack. This step is explained by officials in Delhi, as a terrorist group, "the Jaish-e-Mohammed," training base attack, which eventually turned into a struggle for air.
This terrorist group of Kashmir region of India-controlled part (Jammu & Kashmir) demands independence. That is "the Jaish-e-Mohammed," the members take the responsibility for the current year 14 February Explosion, during which a suicide bomber blew himself up pulvamis region and more than 40 Indian soldiers killed. The terrorist group al-Qaeda connection and Jammu and Kashmir in the military bases are regularly attacked. According to the explanation of the Indian government, This was not an attack on Pakistan, but Defense.
turn, Official Islamabad categorically denies any pulvamis Blast. Pakistan says, that is ready, terrorist group "Jaish-e-Mohammed," to take measures against, If the involvement of its members in the Pulvam attack is confirmed. Islamabad also denies it, That's terrorists in Kashmir or any other place for any form of support.
The conflict could escalate into a war?
The current local conflict between India and Pakistan differs significantly from the standard shootings on the border. According to some experts, The chance, to grow into armed confrontation serious war, minimal. However interesting the Pakistani prime minister's address to the nation: "It is very difficult to predict the war. no one knows, What direct-. The First World War was to be completed in a few weeks, But several years. in the US and no one could imagine, that fighting terrorism 17 In longer to escape ".
How dangerous confrontation between the two nuclear-armed states?
India's nuclear doctrine, Country nuclear weapons on their own initiative not to use, არამედ მხოლოდ სხვა სახელმწიფოს მხრიდან ბირთვული თავდასხმის შემთხვევაში. Despite this, 1999 Then-Prime Minister said during the conflict in India, the official New Delhi, Islamabad first strike "will not wait".
As for Pakistan's nuclear doctrine, The first is the possibility of hitting the case, If the existence of the country and the unity of the real danger. The crossing of the Pakistani border by the Indian military is in line with this very wording. However,, As a rule, nuclear weapons for his country for the owner of a bilateral instrument of containment. Despite the periodic renewal of the Kashmir conflict, As Indian, Pakistani politicians and this area is very wary. The parties do not even talk about nuclear weapons use.
What do you think of the conflict, other states?
large-scale conflict between India and Pakistan be satisfied, But no one can force the parties, Controversy stop. Both countries are independent policy.
Pakistan maneuvering his allies always managed, However, before it is even simpler failed. 1971 On the outbreak of war, the official Islamabad has become a member of the anti-Soviet bloc and it was quite comfortable for the. At the time of his allies US, Saudi Arabia and China were. To date, the US-Relations worsened. for example, President Donald Trump Pakistan military aid suspended, However, this is not much affected by the official Islamabad. On the one hand, The Americans had already imported a large amount of equipment into the country and on the other hand, New needs will always be met by China. The, Washington and Islamabad some allies still remain, because the US needs Pakistan avaghanet its military entitling. Kashmir conflict in the US at this time have a position more proinduri, But India has no plans for a full declaration of support.
China is Pakistan's main global rival to the US investor and arms supplier for him. at the same time, Official Beijing is not happy with the strengthening of India. However,, on the other hand, trade between China and India is growing rapidly. regulation of the situation in the region, including the kashmirshi, China is a large-scale commercial project, "a belt – One way to "success. However, Pakistan is not really the official Beijing Satellite, because here are the prochinuri, Anti-Chinese forces also. At this stage, the official Islamabad is trying to expand the circle of allies, It implies a certain rapprochement with Russia.
What do you think the conflict between ordinary Indians and Pakistanis?
The two countries have never been hatred between citizens. more, Both sides think, That this is a brotherly relationship, each with its own path, They are rivals and enemies, sometimes even each other, But they have much in common.